Why despite flat hierarchies locally active Jihadists pursue a global strategy
Maybe it is helpful to start at the beginning to — London" to interpret. The beginning are the early 1980s. After the invasion of the Soviet Union in Afghanistan began the biggest concealed military secret operation of history. With the help of the CIA, the Saudis and the Pakistanis, young Afghans were fanatized in Koran schools and then trained for the fight against the Soviet Union. The result was the defeat and the demolition of a superpower. As "unemployed" Jihaddists.
The fight lasted ten years. Who thinks in such dimensions, for the 9/11 only the beginning of a strategically planned campaign for the US expulsion of the Arabian Peninsula, a claim that was heard from Bin Laden already in 1990. In 1996, he loves to keep up with an opinion, in which was predicted, the USA was attacked Iraq Fruher or Father. What then was the case, with freely invented allegations of non-existent weapons of mass destruction, manipulated intelligence reports and non-existent relations between Al-Qaeda and Iraq. The decision to attack already fell a year earlier, everything else, the inspections, the ultimate, it was all theater.
The US policy scientist Robert Pape has shown in his youngest book Dying to Win: The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism through an evaluation of almost all data from suicide rather than 1980 in the last, in the light of a very high correlation between the nationality of the Attesta and the deployment of US Troops in your country exists. The convenient number of suicide hob (outside Iraq) since 2002 is Saudi nationality (so also at 9/11) or the taders come from the Arabian peninsula. Or they came from one of the US regimes such as Turkey, Egypt, Pakistan, Indonesia or Morocco, and just not alleged state terrores, as is always claimed by the woman’s house: Iran, Libya or Sudan.
Since the beginning of the Iraq war 2003, terrorist attacks have at least doubled worldwide, which can also be taken from two other statistics. The RAND Corporation pays between Marz 2004 and Marz 2005 5.362 dead by terrorist attack worldwide. The US Foreign Office published a statistic, which also stated a strong increase in global terrorism (the Iraq war has initiated terrorism).
The -Global war against terror" the USA has failed. Locally active and globally thinking Jihaddist groups can be developed in the West awhere, where there is an environment in which they can move. This will be the terrorist grass root movement of the future.
The seasons suicide in Iraq show that there are no recruiting problems and the global Jihad has become a self-run. Madrid and London were probably only the beginning of rough struggle in Europe. We know too little about the thwarted. Robert Pape quotes an UBRIGEN AL-QAIDA Planning Paper from November 2003, which was discussed exactly that strategy that is now being followed. Three connectivity in Spain became a public prere or election victory of socialists to a troop deduction of Spain from Iraq. That has occurred. From this calculus, the remaining Allies of the USA in Europe or Australia may have the next goals. Michael Scheuer, formerly head of the CIA Department for Al-Qaeda and author of Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing The War on Terror has come to all this coming and therefore last year his job at the CIA at the nail goes out of despair about unreasonableness The Bush government.
The Iraq war itself is no longer to win with the current strategy and tactics of the USA". Too little military securing, the uprisings in the Sunni triangle have rather increased. The boundaries are open-time open. A PATT has occurred in the power ratio. However, the Sunni Guerrilla was able to achieve its goals just as little, to stop the democratization process and the sluggish national and regime building and to lead to a more comprehensive uprising. In the coarse majority of Iraqi population, this uprising is hated. Especially so the numeric small group of Jihaddists could give a decisive rash here with spectacular terrorism against US destinations in Iraq itself.
The -Global fight against terror" The US government has therefore proved almost four years after 9/11 as a global fire accelerator. A fight that does not win military. Hamid Karsai is a burger master of Kabul, but not much more. NATO secures the traffic routes in Afghanistan, which makes it possible to transport Opium and Heroin to Europe, whose production has increased well again,.
Pakistan is a failing state with nuclear weapons and rest and jerking room of Jihaddist. Saudi Arabia is a huge problem because its radical Islam design is aubert fundamentalistic and tolerated Hasprediger until calls for. The number of FAILING STATS is increasing worldwide.
And Iran? It is not possible to extinguish that the US government against Iran the next front" in -Global fight against terror" because of its nuclear program open. The tarpaulin is already in the drawer (the last hurray…To). No, no floor offensive, that does not dare Bush, even though there are already planning: Oplan 1002-04 for securing" The Iranian Oldol fields (SIC). But there is an effort against the elites and the suspected and claimed nuclear systems. For such a week again" CNN-Aufwar. Hoping for a regime change in Iran.
Unthinkable is not from the perspective of the Necons. Finally, that has succeeded in. The Operation Ajax of the CIA under the Eisenhower Government in 1953 was the first of its kind that rushes a regime and another well-disposed installed (the Shah). What was it about?? To the Iranian oil.
There are still a few "small" PR problems on the way there. But you have experience. However, it should be clear that then for the first time Iranians in the -djihadist international" ruling.
Dr. Georg Schofbanker operates the Easter Rich Information Buros for Security Policy and Rusting Control in Linz / Austria